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What is a snow day calculator?

A snow day calculator (also called a snow day predictor, a school closing calculator or, for short, a snow day calc) estimates the chance that school will close for snow or ice on the next school morning. This one reads the hourly weather forecast for the place you search, from 6 pm the evening before to 8 am, and adds points for snowfall, freezing rain, bitter cold and wind. The result is an estimate from the forecast, not an official announcement: only your school district decides whether school is closed.

Last updated: October 10, 2026

Method

How the snow day estimate works

The estimate comes from the weather forecast and a short, published set of rules. Here is every step.

  1. Finds the next school morning

    Using the searched place’s local time: before 6 am on a weekday, that’s today. Otherwise it’s the next weekday, so Fridays and weekends look ahead to Monday.

  2. Reads the overnight forecast

    The hourly forecast from 6 pm the evening before until 8 am, covering the night and the morning commute.

  3. Scores the weather

    A starting value of 2 points, plus points for each of the four factors below that appear in the forecast.

  4. Applies your optional answers

    The “Sharpen your prediction” answers multiply the weather points up or down. The starting value is never scaled, so a dry night stays low.

  5. Reports a percentage

    Points are rounded and kept between 1% and 99%. 60% or higher reads Likely, 30–59% Maybe, and under 30% No Chance.

Weather factors and points

Snow

Total snowfall overnight

Snow points
0.5 in+10
1 in+20
2 in+35
4 in+55
6 in or more+70

Amounts in between are blended. Snow points are halved if it’s above 34°F at 7 am, because wet snow melts on roads.

Ice

Hours of freezing rain or drizzle

Ice points
1–2 hours+30
3–5 hours+50
6 hours or more+65

Only the highest step reached counts.

Cold

Temperature at 7 am

Cold points
0°F or colder+10
−15°F or colder+20

Reflects students waiting at bus stops in bitter cold.

Wind

Strongest gust overnight

Wind points
30 mph or more+10
45 mph or more+15

Counts only with at least 1 inch of snow or some freezing rain.

Limits of this estimate

These point values are initial estimates. They haven’t been measured against real school closings yet, and only your school district decides whether school is closed. To see the breakdown for your own result, open More weather details → Why this number? under the result.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

About the prediction

How accurate is the snow day calculator?

Its accuracy hasn’t been measured yet. The formula hasn’t been tested against real school closing records, so treat the percentage as an estimate from the forecast, not a reliable prediction. Only your school district decides.

What data does it use?

The hourly forecast from Open-Meteo for the place you search: snowfall, temperature, wind gusts, and whether freezing rain or freezing drizzle is expected, from 6 pm the evening before to 8 am. It doesn’t use radar, road reports or school announcements.

Is this an official school closing source?

No. This site isn’t affiliated with any school, district or weather service. Always check your district’s own announcements.

What does the percentage mean?

It’s a score built from the forecast and the published rules in How it works: points for snow, ice, cold and wind, scaled by any optional answers. A higher number means more of the weather that leads districts to close is in the forecast. It isn’t a measured probability: it hasn’t been checked against real closings, so 70% doesn’t mean schools closed on 7 of 10 similar mornings. 60% or higher reads Likely, 30–59% Maybe, and under 30% No Chance.

Why is it never 0% or 100%?

Forecasts change overnight, and districts weigh things a forecast can’t show, such as road crews, bus routes and staffing. The result is always kept between 1% and 99% to reflect that uncertainty.

Why does it show a different day than I expected?

It always checks the next school morning in the searched place’s time zone: today if it’s before 6 am on a weekday, otherwise the next weekday, so Fridays and weekends look ahead to Monday. It doesn’t know about holidays, breaks or teacher work days.

How much snow does it take to cancel school?

There’s no national rule; each district decides, and the amount varies widely. Places that rarely see snow may close for an inch or two, while snowy regions often stay open through several inches. Timing, temperature, ice and how fast roads are cleared matter too. In this calculator, about 2 inches of overnight snow on its own reads Maybe and a little over 4 inches reads Likely, with snow points halved if it’s above 34°F at 7 am.

Can you have a snow day without snow?

Yes. Freezing rain can coat roads and sidewalks with ice, and bitter cold can make waiting at bus stops unsafe, so districts sometimes close for either. The calculator adds 30 to 65 points for freezing rain or drizzle, depending on how many hours it lasts, and 10 points at 0°F or colder at 7 am (20 at −15°F or colder). A long night of freezing rain alone can reach Likely, while cold alone adds less.

Snow day vs 2-hour delay vs early dismissal: what’s the difference?

A snow day closes school for the whole day. A delay (often 2 hours) starts school later to give crews time to clear and treat roads, and an early dismissal sends students home before the normal end of the day when weather gets worse during school hours. The calculator only estimates the chance of a full closure on the next school morning; it doesn’t predict delays or early dismissals separately, and only your district decides which one to use.

Using the calculator

Will there be a snow day tomorrow?

Only your school district can say for sure. To see how likely it is, type your city or ZIP code into the calculator at the top of this page: it estimates the chance of a closure on the next school morning from the overnight forecast. On a Friday or a weekend, that means Monday. Check your district’s own announcements for the final word.

When is the next snow day?

No one knows until a district announces it. This no school calculator only looks at the next school morning, using the forecast for that night; it doesn’t predict snow days further ahead. Check again the evening before any school day with snow or ice in the forecast.

Does it work for my school district?

It uses the weather for the town you search, not information about your district, and it doesn’t know your district’s closing policy. The optional “Sharpen your prediction” questions let you describe how easily your district closes, your roads and your school type.

Which places can I search?

Type a city name or a 5-digit US ZIP code. US places are checked first; if no US place has that name, the search looks worldwide. If the wrong town comes up, add a state or country after a comma, for example “Portland, OR” or “Paris, France”. A state name on its own isn’t enough: enter a city or ZIP code in that state. Places outside the US can be found too, but the rules are built around US school mornings, in °F and inches.

When is the best time to check?

The evening before, and again early in the morning. Each search uses the current forecast, and overnight forecasts often change. Before 6 am on a weekday it shows that same morning.

What do the optional questions do?

Each answer multiplies the weather points (not the starting value): a district that closes rarely ×0.7 or easily ×1.75; city roads ×0.9, rural or hilly ×1.2; private school ×0.95, college ×0.6. Skipping a question, or choosing Average, Suburbs or Public, changes nothing.

What does “Is my school closed?” do?

It opens a Google search for school closings in the place you found, in a new tab. The calculator doesn’t check closings itself and can’t confirm whether your school is closed.

Privacy and data

Is my search saved?

No. There are no accounts, cookies or saved history, and nothing is kept in your browser’s storage. Your search and answers are forgotten when you close or reload the page.

What is shared with other services?

To get the forecast, your browser sends the city part of your search (the words before any comma) to Open-Meteo’s place search, then the found place’s map coordinates to Open-Meteo’s forecast. Fonts load from this site. Google sees the place name only if you tap “Is my school closed?”. Like any website, these services can see your IP address. The share card is made on your own device. Full details are in the Privacy Policy.